- Thomas Castellanos rushing yard total is set at 35.5 yards.
- Ty Simpson’s passing yard total is set at 240.5.
- Odds have set Ryan Williams receiving yard total at 74.5.
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – Several eyes will be on the Florida State Seminoles this season to see if they can turn around last year’s 2-10 season, and what better way to do so than being tested out of the gate at home against the #8 Alabama Crimson Tide.
For props we’re eying on college football prop betting sites, on the FSU side, it has to be QB Thomas Castellanos after everything he has said about Bama going into this one. For Alabama, we’ll take a look at both Ty Simpson and Ryan Williams yard totals.
Castellanos Back To Running In Gus Malzahn Offense
Thomas Castellanos Rushing Yard Total
- Over 35.5 -114
- Under 35.5 -114
College football sportsbooks are going to regret setting this line so low. Thomas Castellanos, despite a down year at Boston College and his offseason trash talking, is still one of the premier running QBs in all of college football.
Before Bill O’Brien was hired at Boston College last season and implemented a pro-style offense, Castellanos ran for 1,113 yards in 2023. That included 12 games of 45+ rushing yards.
On the defensive side, the Crimson Tide defense has struggled to contain mobile QBs. They played six total QBs that fit the mold of a dual threat QB last season, and five of them ran for over 35.5 yards.
Alabama Offense Could Lean On Run Forcing Simpson/Williams Under
Ty Simpson Total Passing Yards
- Over 240.5 -114
- Under 240.5 -114
After sitting as a backup and climbing the ranks for three seasons, Ty Simpson will make his first career collegiate start against Florida State. His 240.5 passing yard total does seem a bit high considering this is his first start against a Florida State defense that led the ACC in passing yards allowed last season with 201.3, despite going 2-10.
Ryan Williams Total Receiving Yards
- Over 74.5 -115
- Under 74.5 -113
Although tempting to take Williams to go over 74.5 receiving yards, the same factors that play into Simpson staying under also apply here as well. Also, the narrative that one catch last season against Georgia made his entire season does have some truth to it. Over the course of 13 games last season, he only crossed the 74.5 yard mark four times.
Something that would impact both Simpson and Williams are if the odds play out as they are listed. Currently, there is a 13.5-point spread set in favor of Alabama. If the Tide do get out and cover this spread and hold on to the lead, they’ll surely abandon the pass and run the clock out, which would hurt each of their cases of going over as well.
