- Alabama is a 10-point favorite over LSU.
- A 49.5-point total is set between LSU and Alabama.
TUSCALOOSA, Ala. – The Week 11 matchup between LSU and Alabama will mark the first game for the Tigers since firing Brian Kelly following their Week 9 blowout loss to Texas A&M.
That said, LSU could not have asked for a worse situation than this one, on the road, in primetime, in Tuscaloosa, and as a 10-point underdog on college football props betting.
LSU Vs. Alabama
- Moneyline: LSU (+295) vs. Alabama (-390)
- Spread: Alabama -10
- Total: 49.5
Alabama should have their way in this one on both sides of the ball, as LSU, with as much talent as they have on offense, just hasn’t been able to get things going.
Sticking with their offensive numbers, Alabama (34.4 ppg) has a +8.9 scoring advantage over LSU (25.5 ppg) this season. On defense, they put up similar numbers with Bama allowing 18.3 ppg to LSU’s 18.9 ppg allowed.
As for the betting numbers, Alabama is 5-2-1 against the spread this season with a +3.7 cover margin and 16.1 winning margin per game. LSU is 3-5 ATS with a -4.4 cover margin. LSU is also 3-5 in going over their point totals this season at a -6.9 margin. Alabama is 5-3 going over, however, they have stayed under in three of their last five games.
Given their offensive and defensive numbers and each of their trends this season, we see leans on Alabama to cover the -10-point spread and for the point total to stay under 49.5 on college football sportsbooks.
Alabama Vs. LSU Betting Trends
All time, Alabama leads the series against LSU with a 57-27-5 overall record. In more recent seasons, Alabama has gone 4-1 over their last five meetings with three of those wins coming by 10+ point margins. Four of those last five games have gone over 49.5 points.
In their last 28 meetings, Alabama has gone 13-12-3 against the spread, while the point total is 10-14-3 in going over.
