- Indiana is an 8.5-point favorite against Miami in the National Championship.
- Fernando Mendoza has -173 odds to throw over 1.5 passing touchdowns.
- Malachi Toney has a 59.5 receiving yard total.
MIAMI – The 2025-26 college football season is coming to an end with the National Championship game coming up between the #1 Indiana Hoosiers and #10 Miami Hurricanes from Hard Rock Stadium.
This is as heavy hitting of a matchup that there’s been all year, and college football prop betting sites are ready with both game odds and player props widely available.
Getting into the odds, Indiana is more than a touchdown favorite to beat the Canes and win their programs first CFB National Championship.
Miami Vs. Indiana
- Moneyline: Miami (+265) vs. Indiana (-330)
- Spread: Indiana -8.5
- Total: 47
While this may seem like too large of spread in the National Championship on college football sportsbooks, Indiana should absolutely roll through to their first title as they’ve been doing all season. The Hoosiers have a massive +38 scoring margin through their two playoff games, while Miami is at just a +14 margin and has seen all three of their playoff games decided in the final quarter.
On the season as a whole, Indiana is averaging a 31.5-point winning margin and +13.6 cover margin against the spread compared to Miami’s 17.6-point winning margin and +5 cover margin.
Notable Player Props
Fernando Mendoza Passing Touchdown Total
- Over 1.5 -173
- Under 1.5 +130
Anything under 2.5 for Mendoza’s passing touchdown total is just criminal. He’s totaled eight passing touchdowns through Indiana’s two playoff games and has thrown for 2+ touchdowns in 10 total games this season. Yes, Miami’s defense hasn’t allowed a multi-touchdown game in the playoffs, but they also haven’t faced an offense built like the Hoosiers. That said, we’re rolling with “Heismendoza” over 1.5 passing touchdowns.
Malachi Toney Total Receiving Yards
- Over 59.5 -114
- Under 59.5 -114
Based on the spread, Miami should be trailing in this one and could be by a wide margin. Also, Indiana boasts the second toughest run defense in the country this season, allowing just 75 yards per game. With both playing a role here, Carson Beck and the Canes should be forced to throw more, leaving Malachi Toney available with plenty of opportunities.
Toney is the leading receiver for Miami this season with 1,089 yards on the season. He’s crossed 59.5 receiving yards in nine games this season, including the semifinals against Ole Miss. Indiana has also allowed six receivers to go for 60+ yards in their last four games.
