- Vanderbilt is favored by 2.5-points against conference rival Missouri on Saturday night.
- Missouri has won the last five meetings between the two teams.
NASHVILLE, Tenn. – Two of the more surprising SEC teams will face off this Saturday as the 10th ranked Vanderbilt Commodores host the #15 Missouri Tigers in a game that could have major implications on the CFP picture.
#15 Missouri vs #10 Vanderbilt Game Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | +2.5 (-105) | +120 | O 51.5 (-110) |
| Vanderbilt | -2.5 (-115) | -140 | U 51.5 (-110) |
College football prop betting sites favor the Commodores at home where they’ve yet to lose a game this season. Missouri has gone 1-0 on the road through seven games.
Recent Performance
Missouri had been cruising along through the first five weeks of the season, winning each of their first five games by multiple scores before losing to Alabama 27-24 at home two weeks ago.
They were able to bounce back by securing a double overtime win over Auburn last week on the road. Although Auburn has caught a lot of slack for going 0-4 in SEC play thus far, Missouri was the lowest ranked team that they’ve played, coming in at 16th in the country.
Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has also put together an impressive season, winning each of their first five games by multiple scores before losing to Alabama on the road.
The week after, they took down 10th ranked LSU by a final score of 31-24
Key Stats
Both teams have been elite on the offensive side of the ball, averaging around 40 points per game.
Vanderbilt has been one of the most efficient teams in the country, averaging 7.2 yards per play (5th best in the country), 6.4 yards per carry (3rd), and 8.3 yards per pass attempt (26th).
Missouri is 17th in the country with 5.3 yards per carry but ranks outside the top 40 in both yards per play and yards per pass attempt.
Missouri has been better defensively, allowing the 5th fewest total yards per game (243.0) and the 21st least points per game (16.7).
They’ve been one of the most efficient defenses in the country, allowing just 4.2 yards per play, the eighth lowest figure in the nation while also ranking 7th in yards allowed per carry and 17th in yards per pass attempt.
Vanderbilt has not been bad defensively, but nowhere as elite as the Tigers, allowing 315 total yards per game and 20 points per game.
The Commodores are 53rd in yards allowed per play and outside the top 35 in both yards per carry and yards per pass attempt.
Betting Angle
Diego Pavia’s line for passing yards is set at 217.5 with -115 odds on both the over and under.
In his four games against Power 4 teams, he has yet to throw for over 200 yards. Against an elite Missouri defense, this is an easy under bet.
As for the game itself, bettors should lean towards Vanderbilt to cover the 2.5-point spread at Tennessee college football betting sites.
With the more experienced quarterback and one of the most efficient offenses in the country, home field advantage should help to diminish the dominance of the Missouri defense.
Additionally, Missouri QB Beau Pribula has proven to be turnover prone, tossing seven interceptions in seven games. Look for Vanderbilt’s defense to force a takeaway or two.
