- There is a 59-point total set between Florida State and Virginia.
- There are -108 odds for Thomas Castellanos to go over 172.5 passing yards.
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va. – The #8 Florida State Seminoles will begin ACC play on Friday Night with a road matchup against another top offense in all of college football, the Virginia Cavaliers.
Going into this one, both UVA and FSU are top-5 offenses in terms of total offensive yards per game, and both top-15 in points per game as well. With that much offensive power on both sides, we’re heavily leaning on the over at college football prop betting.
Florida State Vs. Virginia
- Moneyline: FSU (-280) vs. Virginia (+230)
- Spread: FSU -7 (-115)
- Total: 59
Both the Noles and Cavaliers have been trending over their point totals all season, with Florida State 3-0 in hitting their overs, while Virginia is 3-0-1. Both of them are also hitting their games' projected point totals by a 12+ point margin as well.
Overall, the Seminoles are rated the number one offense in the country, averaging 58 points per game with an average of 628.7 offensive yards per game. Virginia isn’t far behind, putting up 45.5 points per game with the fifth most offensive yards at 564.5 per game.
Against a high 59-point total, FSU has crossed the over in two of their three games, scoring 77 and 66 points on their own in their last two. Virginia has crossed 59 points in three of their four games, having put up 31, 55, and 48 points respectively.
Regardless of what is on the defensive end, bettors simply cannot and should not ignore the caliber of these two offenses.
Player Prop Pick: Thomas Castellanos Over Passing Yards
Thomas Castellanos Total Passing Yards
- Over 172.5 -108
- Under 172.5 -121
This is a low passing yard total for Castellanos on college football sportsbooks considering the circumstances. Castellanos is going into this one having thrown for over 172.5 yards in his last two games without playing the entire game either. Across three games, he averages 198 passing yards per game.
This is also a QB friendly matchup against a Virginia defense that is allowing 213.3 passing yards per game. They’ve allowed both ACC QBs that they’ve played thus far to go over 172.5 passing yards, as well in CJ Bailey from NC State (200 yards) and Ben Gulbranson from Stanford (286).
In a game where a ton of offense is expected, the Noles could find themselves in less of a run-heavy heavy gameplan than normal to keep up with the pace.
