Can Florida State Upset SMU? Odds Not Budging

  • There are -105 odds for SMU to cover a 3-point spread against Florida State.
  • SMU is 14-2 in the ACC since joining the conference.
  • Florida State has +130 odds to beat SMU.

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – Capping off an eventful Week 1 of college football is a Labor Day game in Tallahassee, Florida, at Doak Campbell Stadium, where Florida State hosts #19 SMU. All eyes will be on this standalone game as SMU edges the Noles on the spread.

College football prop betting sites have just a field goal spread set in favor of SMU. Oddsmakers might know something we don’t going into this one, as Florida State is coming off a concerning outing in Week 0 against New Mexico State.

SMU Vs. FSU

  • Moneyline: SMU (-150) vs. FSU (+130)
  • Spread: SMU -3 (-105)
  • Total: 53

Can Florida State Pull Off The Upset?

The stage is set for Florida State in this one. The Seminoles come into this one being dragged all week after their 34-17 win over New Mexico State as a massive 31.5-point underdog. However, there are some things to consider.

Week 0 against New Mexico State was essentially a tune-up game. At the end of the day, it’s a Power 4 team going up against a bottom-tier Group of 6 team. Throughout the offseason, the Noles likely looked past NMSU to this Week 1 matchup.

Last season, Florida State had all offseason to prepare for Alabama and ended up pulling off a massive upset on Florida sportsbooks. This is a similar situation. A top-25-ranked team coming into Doak Campbell Stadium early on, with a whole offseason to prepare.

This matchup could also showcase the Seminoles’ wide receiver core. SMU was the second-worst team in the country last season in pass/receiving yards allowed per game at 283.2.

Between having all offseason to prepare for this one and SMU’s secondary facing a tough receiving core, there is some value on the Florida State spread and even the moneyline for some plus money.

About Samuel Profeta

Sam is a college football enthusiast and who's been on the CollegeFootballProps.com team since 2020. He grew up a Florida State fan and graduated as a Nole in 2019. When he's not chopping it up about the Seminoles CFP snub, he's playing dynasty mode on College Football 25.