- James Madison's fourth-ranked defense and strong rushing attack position the Dukes to control a Texas State team struggling through a three-game losing streak with defensive issues.
- Forecasted wind gusts up to 35 mph and James Madison's defense allowing just 15.6 points per game support scoring finishing well below the posted total.
SAN MARCOS, Texas – Tuesday night's Sun Belt Conference battle between James Madison and Texas State features compelling betting opportunities centered on the Dukes' defensive dominance and expected weather conditions impacting the scoring environment in this crucial divisional matchup.
Best James Madison vs Texas State Bets
- Half Time/Full Time - James Madison/James Madison -121
- Total Points: Under 57 -135
James Madison Controls Throughout The Game
During their five-game winning streak, the Dukes have shown constant dominance from the first kickoff until the last whistle. Against a Texas State team that has lost three straight games, James Madison's ability to control both lines of scrimmage should result in leads being maintained throughout both halves.
With just 237.0 yards allowed per game, JMU's defense is ranked fourth in the country for total defense. Over their last five games, the Dukes have given up only 71 points, or 14.2 points per game on average.
The matchup favors James Madison's ground-and-pound approach, as their eighth-ranked rushing attack averaging 243.7 yards per game faces a Bobcats defense ranked 97th nationally against the run.
This bet, which has -121 odds on Virginia CFB prop betting sites, takes advantage of JMU's capacity to take early leads and hold onto possession. Quarterback Alonza Barnett III has orchestrated this balanced offensive attack with nine touchdown passes against just two interceptions while adding nine rushing touchdowns.
Under Total Capitalizes on Weather and Defensive Strength
The 57-point total appears inflated given forecasted wind gusts reaching 35 mph in San Marcos, which should significantly impact both passing games. Weather conditions favor James Madison's ground-based attack while potentially neutralizing Texas State's aerial weapons.
James Madison's stingy defense presents the primary argument for the under. The Dukes allow just 15.6 points per game and rank second against the run by surrendering only 74.3 yards per game.
This defensive excellence should limit Texas State's offense, which averages 36.1 points per game, well below its season average.
Alternative Total Points
- 56 -120
- 55 -105
- 54 +110
- 53.5 +115
The under has cashed in five of James Madison's last six games and three of Texas State's last five contests. With -135 odds at places in Texas to bet on college football, this represents a strong opportunity given the defensive mismatch and environmental factors.
For bettors exploring college football prop bets, JMU's ability to shorten games through their running game creates a scenario where possessions become limited, keeping this total comfortably under the posted number.
