Iowa Upsets Michigan As Most Week 4 Favorites Cover

  • Iowa won 20-19 at Michigan as a 5-point underdog, the only outright upset among six marquee Week 4 games.
  • No. 1 Texas escaped Tennessee 20-17 but failed to cover as a 5-point road favorite.
  • Georgia routed Oklahoma 41-13, covering a double-digit spread by more than two touchdowns.
  • Oregon beat USC 41-27 on the road, clearing a 60.5-point total, the highest of the six marquee lines.

ANN ARBOR, Mich. – Iowa beat Michigan 20-19 on the road Saturday, covering as a 5-point underdog and winning outright in the only such upset among six marquee Week 4 college football games that otherwise went mostly to form against the closing numbers.

Iowa’s Road Win

The Iowa Hawkeyes closed as 5-point underdogs at Michigan and left Ann Arbor with a 20-19 win, beating the number by six points and winning outright. The Michigan Wolverines entered the game ranked 18th in the AP Top 25, one spot behind No. 17 Iowa, and the market still made Michigan a five-point favorite at home.

Sunday’s AP Top 25 moved Iowa up to No. 14 and dropped Michigan out of the poll. The Wolverines fall to 3-1; the Hawkeyes move to 4-0, and the 39 combined points slipped under the 40 total by a single point.

Texas Escapes By A Field Goal

The Texas Longhorns, the nation’s No. 1 team and a 5-point road favorite at the close, held off the Tennessee Volunteers 20-17. Tennessee’s backers needed the final margin to stay inside five points, and it did, by two.

Texas is 4-0 and kept the top spot in the AP Top 25 released Sunday, but the number that mattered to bettors went the other way, and the 37 combined points landed well under the 54.5 total. Texas entered the summer favored to win the SEC at +280, and Saturday’s three-point escape in Knoxville was its second one-score win in three weeks, after a 24-23 home win over Ohio State on Sept. 12.

Georgia And LSU Cover Big

The Georgia Bulldogs turned a double-digit line into a rout of the Oklahoma Sooners, winning 41-13 to cover by more than two touchdowns, and the 54 combined points cleared a 44 total by 10, the widest over of the day.

The LSU Tigers did similar work against the Texas A&M Aggies as an 8-point favorite, winning 35-6 in Baton Rouge. Both were the kind of results that make a closing number look conservative in hindsight: neither favorite let the game stay competitive long enough for the spread to matter.

Six marquee Week 4 results against the closing college football props board:

  • Iowa at Michigan

    Final
    Iowa 20, Michigan 19
    Closing spread
    Michigan -5
    Spread result
    Iowa covers
    Total
    40
    O/U result
    Under
  • Texas at Tennessee

    Final
    Texas 20, Tennessee 17
    Closing spread
    Texas -5
    Spread result
    Tennessee covers
    Total
    54.5
    O/U result
    Under
  • Oklahoma at Georgia

    Final
    Georgia 41, Oklahoma 13
    Closing spread
    Georgia -10.5
    Spread result
    Georgia covers
    Total
    44
    O/U result
    Over
  • Oregon at USC

    Final
    Oregon 41, USC 27
    Closing spread
    Oregon -3.5
    Spread result
    Oregon covers
    Total
    60.5
    O/U result
    Over
  • Texas A&M at LSU

    Final
    LSU 35, Texas A&M 6
    Closing spread
    LSU -8
    Spread result
    LSU covers
    Total
    53
    O/U result
    Under
  • Missouri at Mississippi State

    Final
    Mississippi State 31, Missouri 24
    Closing spread
    Mississippi State -3.5
    Spread result
    Mississippi State covers
    Total
    59
    O/U result
    Under

The Total That Cashed

The Oregon Ducks and USC Trojans carried the slate’s highest college football game totals number, 60.5, into a game the market priced as the highest-scoring of the six, and the teams delivered on it. Oregon won 41-27 on the road in Los Angeles, and the 68 combined points cleared the total by 7.5.

Oklahoma-Georgia was the only other over among the six. The remaining four closed under their numbers, including a Texas A&M-LSU total that missed by 12 in a game that was a blowout on the scoreboard but a defensive one in the aggregate.

Mississippi State Holds Off Missouri

The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat the Missouri Tigers 31-24, covering as 3.5-point favorites with 3.5 points to spare, while the 55 combined points fell four short of the 59 total. That made it four unders in six games on a day when Oregon-USC and Oklahoma-Georgia carried the only overs.

About Lorcan Palaca

Lorcan covers college football player props, game previews, and the latest news from across the sport. Currently a student at Florida State University, he has a lifelong passion for college football throughout the offseason, during the season, and while bowl games are happening. Combining his love for the game with betting analysis for CollegeFootballProps, Lorcan creates content that helps readers make smarter betting decisions and stay ahead of the changing odds.